Royals at Tigers: Where the Run-Line Value Sits on Detroit as the Home Favorite

The value in tonight's Royals-Tigers matchup shows up on the Tigers run line, with Detroit favored to win by a margin at home. Multiple sportsbooks disagreed on how to price that spread, and the best available number came in longer than the no-vig fair line we calculated after stripping out the house margin. That kind of disagreement is where genuine, if small, edges tend to hide, and it's the sort of thing that vanishes quickly once books adjust.

To be clear, this is a call on price, not a confident forecast that Detroit wins by that margin. A run line is a demanding bet, and the Royals are perfectly capable of keeping it close or springing the upset outright. What we're flagging is that if you're already leaning toward the home favorite covering, the market gave you a better-than-fair number to do it, provided you shopped for the right price rather than taking the first line you saw.

This is one game. Varsia surfaces the best price, the no-vig fair line, and the real edge across the whole MLB slate — updated live.